Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.256796 0.295391 0.336900 0.384751 0.438277 0.496192 0.563476
2025-12-14 0.193295 0.245016 0.305195 0.379919 0.469703 0.573580 0.702284
2025-12-21 0.144710 0.201683 0.273190 0.368388 0.490518 0.640550 0.837225
2025-12-28 0.117653 0.179193 0.262019 0.379432 0.539009 0.745454 1.029329
2026-01-04 0.096981 0.160829 0.252622 0.390528 0.588024 0.855573 1.239208
2026-01-11 0.078346 0.141356 0.237980 0.391445 0.622296 0.948639 1.434790
2026-01-18 0.063626 0.124656 0.224239 0.390935 0.653397 1.039153 1.633959
2026-01-25 0.051802 0.110058 0.211018 0.388690 0.680647 1.125465 1.833254
2026-02-01 0.042646 0.098064 0.199837 0.387613 0.708698 1.214325 2.042206
2026-02-08 0.035374 0.087907 0.189954 0.386906 0.736487 1.304105 2.258197
2026-02-15 0.029084 0.078179 0.179038 0.382487 0.756879 1.382852 2.461526
2026-02-22 0.025094 0.072463 0.174803 0.389482 0.797222 1.496461 2.727399
2026-03-01 0.020669 0.064648 0.165078 0.384881 0.816711 1.577430 2.946999
2026-03-08 0.017590 0.059329 0.159691 0.388061 0.850675 1.685505 3.218835
2026-03-15 0.014405 0.052762 0.150263 0.381475 0.865130 1.760054 3.437969
2026-03-22 0.012937 0.050652 0.150859 0.396326 0.922778 1.915867 3.807437
2026-03-29 0.011597 0.048526 0.151025 0.410171 0.979511 2.073536 4.188906
2026-04-05 0.009939 0.044831 0.146502 0.412653 1.012929 2.189684 4.502074
2026-04-12 0.008458 0.041209 0.141447 0.413115 1.041925 2.299007 4.808443
2026-04-19 0.007138 0.037654 0.135846 0.411407 1.065879 2.399799 5.104072
2026-04-26 0.006053 0.034569 0.130942 0.410696 1.091772 2.505722 5.414515
2026-05-03 0.005141 0.031801 0.126397 0.410225 1.117994 2.613643 5.733941
2026-05-10 0.004285 0.028867 0.120672 0.405756 1.134421 2.702383 6.020488